Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Monday, February 16, 2009

State meet divisional championships coming up.

I don't know if anyone reads this blog but it would be nice to get some reviews of the various teams and individuals from the DCL running this weekend. I got this school breakdown from the MIAA site.
http://www.miaa.net/indoor-track-06-09-alignment.pdf
div 1:
school, boys, girls, total
AB, 847 836 1683
BL, 741 903 1644
LS, 690 718 1408
NS, 762 726 1488
Waltham, 726 766 1492

div 2:
Arlington, 547 556 1103
CC, 556 648 1204
Notre Dame Academy, Hingham
0 543 543
WA 697 656 1353

div 3:
Wayland, 454 427 881

div 4:
Bedford, 373 346 719
Weston, 321 345 666

Thursday, February 12, 2009

Jon Gault's DCL league meet preview

Jon Gault's (Bedford senior) DCL league meet preview.
Saturday at Reggie Lewis Track

Boys
55: Sam Grad from Westford has been a force in this event this season, and leads competitors with a 6.74 season’s best.

55 Hurdles: Yong Cho from NS seems to be a no-brainer here. He has the #2 time in the state this year at 7.73, and is unlikely to be beaten. Westford’s Chris Fowler is also strong runner in this event.

300: This event is up for grabs, assuming that Grad runs the 55. AB is fairly deep in this event, so look for one of their guys, such as John Murphy or promising soph Neal Olsen to take the title.

600: This is another wide open race, as no athlete has been able to grab control of this event this season. Athletes to watch include David Brew and Curt Owen.

1000: Assuming he is at full fitness after missing the last DCL meet, NS senior Sasha Long should take this race easily. He has by far the fastest PR (2:38), so the only question is whether he is healthy or not.

1 mile: I will be running this event, so I won’t make any really bold predictions, but…
It should be a strong field, also featuring John Jantz (4:29), Yuji Wakimoto (4:31), and Alec Barnes (4:35). Look for a fast winning time and some good PRs. Will we see a small school athlete take home the crown for the second year in a row?

2 mile: Antony Taylor. He will be unchallenged in this event, with a PR almost 30 seconds faster than his nearest competitor, Teddy Farley of AB.

4x200: Westford, with the 2nd best time in the state this year at 1:32, should win, but could be challenged by AB, who ran 1:34 at Class A relays.

4x400: Westford has the fastest time this year of any DCL school with a 3:34, but it will be interesting to see how schools split up their athletes between the three relays at this meet. AB and Newton South will both definitely be in the mix for this race.

4x800: Newton South, who ran 8:19 at Class A relays, should be unchallenged in this event. Look for Arlington though, who, with Jantz and Taylor, could put up a pretty fast time.

Shot put: Andrew Bernard of CC (no, not the guy from The Office) leads DCL competitors this year with a heave of 47-03.

High jump: Sam Wuest of LS is the favorite here with a 6-3 PR. He has proven himself against DCL competition, having already won a DCL title.

Long Jump: NS junior Ross McDonald, with the #3 jump in the state this year at 21-07, should win this event comfortably.

Girls
55: This should be a two way battle for supremacy between Ezra Banks of NS, Olivia Grant of Boston Latin. Banks has the faster time between them this year, at 7.43.

55 Hurdles: Cassandra Ryding of WA should have no difficulty defending her title from last year. Her 2009 season’s best is 8.53.

300: Meisha Brooks looks like a good bet to take the title, but watch for precocious frosh Rebecca Robinson of Arlington, who is seeded only half a second behind Brooks.

600: Depending on how they spread their talent, NS and LS both have several runners who could take this event. Andrea Keklak has the fastest DCL time this year, but I bet she’ll run another event. I see LS’s Jessica Griffin taking the win here.

1000: We will likely see a matchup of the two best 1000 runners in the state this season, Ellie Hylton of LS and Kathy O’Keefe of NS, both of whom have run under 3 minutes. It should be close, but look for the experienced Hylton to prevail, as she did two weeks ago at the MSTCA Elite meet.

1 mile: Again, NS and LS could split their talent here but I predict NS’s Bridget Dahlberg to run here against Keklak. Dahlberg, coming off a 5:02 at the Boston Indoor Games, should have little trouble dispatching Keklak, who won this event last year, but was DQ’ed for entering two events.

2 mile: I see Kelsey Karys vs Jen Gossels here, with Karys winning pretty comfortably. The question is, will we see this year’s first sub-11 2 mile?

4x200: Boston Latin and Newton South’s best times this year are only separated by .02 seconds. Look for a really good battle, with Westford taking third.

4x400: This should be between NS and LS, who have both run 4:08. Look for WA and AB to battle for 3rd and 4th.

4x800: This should recall the epic XC battles between NS and LS last fall. NS are the defending state champs in this event, but LS has the faster time this year, with 9:30. I predict that, if Dahlberg anchors this race, then NS will pull away on the final leg for the win.

Shot put: Nalis Mbianda of NS has emerged as a major threat in this event, and should win easily.

High Jump: Look for Maggie Fleming of LS and Alisha Hanly of WA to battle for the crown. Fleming has jumped one inch higher this season, at 5-2, so look for her to hold the edge.

Long jump: Madison Acton, an LS freshman, leads DCL competitors this year with a leap of 16-01.5. She is the top competitor to watch in this year’s field.

Teamwise, look for a battle between Westford, NS, and AB on the boys side. It will be a very close meet.

For the girls, it will be, as always, between NS and LS. I think that this is NS’s year, as they are defending state champs in outdoor track and cross country. Look for them to add the DCL indoor crown, as well as a potential state championship to their crowded trophy case.

2006 DCL outdoor league meet 2 mile. Jon Gault, 2nd from left, Teddy Farley 3rd from left, Andrew Wortham 5th from left.

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Oracle's state meet preview - girls

Oracle has written a state meet preview for the girls that looks good for the DCL:

In order to be a contender for the team title this year teams have to have a home run hitter (or two) and depth. I've listed the teams I think have a legit chance to score over 30 points. Assumes (and hopes) there are no major injuries or illnesses.

1) Newton South.
The scariest result from the Elite meet for other teams had to be:

2 632 Mbianda, Nalis 12 Newton South 39-06.50 12.05m

Their distance corps is strong enough to win the title on its own, and if Mbianda ends up high on the SP podium NS is probably at 40 points or over and out of reach of the rest of the teams. Dahlberg and Karys look like a good bet for 18 points in the mile and two mile. Bromfield's Jones is as sure a bet in the two mile as there is in this meet, but Karys looks just as solid for second. If Jones decides to move down to the mile to challenge Dahlberg again and succeeds, NS still ends up with the same amount of points. Framingham's Murphy might also take a bite out of the mile points, but until someone beats her in the mile, Dahlberg is the queen.

The NS 4x8 should also score 8-10 points although it won't be easy with LS, Weymouth, NN, and Bromfield looking to challenge. Dahlberg, O'Keefe, and Ryan-Davis are all sub 2:20 runners.

Those events gives them 26-28 points. O'Keefe will also score points in either the mile or 1000, and may end up very high in the standings for either. Other potential point scorers are Ryan-Davis in the 600/1000/mile, Banks in the 55, Fineman in the mile/2 mile, and the 4x2. Now add a big finish for Mbiandi and its a 40+ point effort.

2) Mansfield.
The next biggest lock on the girls side after Jones in the 2 mile is defending champ Ferreira in the hurdles. The hurdles can be dangerous - if Lolo Jones can get tripped up anyone can - but still plan on 10 points here. Mansfield also looks like one of the favorites in the 4x4, which could give them 20 points.

And how about this for an athlete? McCabe has high jumped 5-4 and thrown the shot over 39 feet, but she can only compete in one field event. The HJ is the most volatile event in the meet where a brush of the bar can cost several positions on jumps, and there are a lot of girls who have jumped 5-4 to 5-5, so the shot looks like where the points are more sure. In order to win it they will need sophomore Broyles to score well in the 300. Good scores by these two puts Mansfield in the mid-30's. Mansfield also has a sub 1:40 600 runner in Jennsen and she could pull a Petteruto. Lastly, Ferreira also can score points in the LJ.

3) Lincoln-Sudbury
The hardest team to figure out. They could win it, or they could finish several spots down. They are difficult to figure because their best chances appear to be in the two most hotly contested events: 1000 and HJ. LS has owned the 1000 the last two years, with three different runners winning the last two all-state and elite races, and riding a 1-2 finish in the event to the state title two years ago. Hylton is having an especially good year, have gone 1:38 in the 600 in flats, winning the Elite 1000 in 2:57, and with 5:10 and 11:19 times. The 1000 is very deep, fast, and wide open so predicting a place in this event is hard and many teams have a legit runner who can win it. Keklak has also run a 1:38 and an early season 3:00. If these two can score 16 points between them somewhere, and LS wins a tightly contested 4x8 they will have 26 points.

LS also has Griffin who has placed 2nd in the 1000 and 5th in the 600 in the last two all-state meets. She skipped XC and is just rounding into shape now. A good performance in the 600 will put them at 30+ points. Flemming has jumped 5-5 a few times and is consistently at the top of the standings. A top place in the HJ could put them into the upper 30's. Lastly, Gossels (5:15, 11:18) has also had a good season, and Claire Arthur has been in the seeded all-state finals for the 1000 and 800 last year.

4) Newton North
To win it, they need Ranti to win the hotly contested 1000, and she has the best PR in the group (2:54). A win here not only gives them big points but takes away points from several of their rivals (NS, LS, Andover). In addition, NN has a good chance to win the 4x8. Margo Gillis will also score points, but the question is where. I'd expect her to show up in the 2 mile or maybe the mile and has the ability to go as high as a third place somewhere. Kaufman could score in two events (LJ and 55H). It seems everyone has a 5-4 jumper, and NN is no exception. If all goes right, NN could land in the high 30's and win it.

5) Haverhill
One more Stabile sister and they would be the favorites. Stabile the elder is the top 300 runner and is also yet another 5-4 jumper. Stabile the younger is a strong contender in the 600, and the two of them combine to form half of a strong 4x4 contingent. Haverhill also has a good distance group and could score in the 4x8. If things go well they land in the mid-30's.

6) Andover
The defending champs have strong entries in the two key events of the meet: the 1000 and the HJ. Last year Shannon's photo finish for third in the 1000 was one of the reasons Andover won it, and they will need at least a third from her this year to contend. Andover also has a 5-4 jumper and they need this event too. Knapp has an outside chance at points in the 300, but the real strength of the Andover team is in the relays and they will be contenders in both the 4x2 and 4x4. It is a bit of a stretch for them to hit 30, but hey, they're the defending champs.

Sunday, February 8, 2009